For the Detroit Lions, the next game is the biggest game even if a Super Bowl berth is only two wins away. The Lions face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Divisional Round at 3 p.m. on Sunday at Ford Field. The winner moves on to play the winner between the 49ers and Packers in the NFC Championship game on Jan. 28.
For Lions coach Dan Campbell focus is the key. The Lions, who are 6-point favorites, cannot overlook the Bucs who they beat 20-6 in Week 6.
The coach seems to have gotten that message across this week.
“They know we only have three left here and then you get a bye— after two— and then you get the third one (the Super Bowl). So there’s only three left here, but it all starts with one,’’ Campbell said on Friday. “That’s really the process all year no matter where you’re at — if you lost one, won five in a row, now you’re in the playoffs. Man it’s all about the one in front of you. You have to stay focused on that. Everything we’ve got – full focus on this game.’’
He needs them to do their job one more time for their 14th win this season.
“For any of the butterflies of the first playoff game ever for a lot of guys, got the monkey off your back. Well now you’re in your second playoff game, you ‘ve got experience in that, you understand the environment, you understand what our house is going to be like, which is electric which should give you a surge of energy,’’ Campbell said. “I think this is good, but it’s all focus on one.’’
Five things to watch:
1. A huge difference last week was preventing the Rams from scoring on three trips to the red zone. And, the Lions offense scored on all three trips inside the 20. Numbers like that will go a long way in winning most games during the postseason and really any time. While the Lions excel in the red zone, the Bucs are third best in the NFL in red zone defense. Something’s got to give. “They pressure, pressure but once you get in third down they calm things down and they do what they do and they’re really good at it especially when you get in there really tight,’’ Campbell said. “They’ll play a couple coverages and they don’t care if you know what it is, they’re better at it than you are and they’ve done a great job of it.’’
2. Quarterback Baker Mayfield and his two wide receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, can be a handful. It’s tough to judge his performance in the wildcard win over the Eagles, because Philadelphia’s defense was awful. He was 22 of 36 for 337 yards and three touchdowns. “We’ve got a find to squeeze this in on Baker,’’ Campbell said. “If you let him sit back there and play with rhythm and a hitch, it’s dangerous because he will get it up to his guys and he’s going to give them a chance to make a play. (Mike) Evans is an issue, we can’t let him go off.’’ In their first meeting the LIons held the Bucs to just two field goals.
3. In the first meeting on Oct. 15, Jahmyr Gibbs was out with an injury and David Montgomery left the game early with a rib injury. The Lions managed just 40 rushing yards. It won’t be easy to run the ball since the Bucs have the NFL’s fifth best rushing defense allowing 95.3 yards per game. “They load the box up. They really condense you in there and so it’s hard. It’s tough sledding and we did not rise to the challenge well enough as a whole unit. So, whoever we had up last time, we fell short of our standard and the good news about where we are as an offense is we can shift and we can flow, and that doesn’t shut us down entirely,’’ Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson said. “If we can’t run the ball, then we have other ways to attack the defense as well. So, fortunately that was the case the first time we played them. We are still built on the run though. I think our guys upfront, they relish the opportunity to do that, and we’ve got really good backs that we need to get the ball, so hopefully we can have a little more success than the first go around.”
4. Jared Goff has been playing his best football to end the season and was a huge reason the Lions won their first playoff game in 32 years. The fans made it known they loved him with their Jar-ed Goff chants and he returned the love completing 22 of 27 (81 percent) for 277 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. “He’s at his best when his back is against the wall. Now, it hasn’t been against the wall but he’s doing well. That’s something that has always impressed me,’’ Campbell said. “When things don’t look good or we’re not moving the ball or you have a couple turnovers and you feel like the world is coming in on you. He’s at this best coming out of that.’’
5. The Lions have outscored opponents 111-78 in the first quarters, including jumping out to a 14-3 lead in the first quarter against the Rams last Sunday. Detroit scored on its first two drives. The defense would like the fans to do their part like they did against the Rams. “It is a joy to be able to play at home in front of these guys. And they did a hell of a job assisting us. I don’t know if you noticed, but the two timeouts, I think that had to do something with the crowd noise and him not being able to hear,’’ defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn said. “And the quarterback (Matthew Stafford), he knows how Ford Field is, so I’m sure he was expecting that, but man, it was outstanding. It was outstanding. And look forward to it this week.”
INJURY UPDATE: WR Kalif Raymond (knee) is out; TE Sam LaPorta (knee) and LB James Houston (ankle) are questionable.
PREDICTION: Lions 31, Bucs 17. The Lions are the better team since they first met.
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