Five keys to watch as the Lions face the 49ers; plus injury updates, prediction

When the Vikings defeated the Packers, 27-25, on Sunday, it created a logjam of sorts atop the NFC North. Now it will all come down to the regular season finale when the Lions (13-2) host the Vikings (14-2) on Sunday, Jan. 5, at Ford Field. 

The winner will earn the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The loser will play in the wildcard round. Detroit is 5-0 in the division while Minnesota is 4-1. 

In other words, Monday night’s game at the San Francisco 49ers does not mean anything in the standings or for playoff seeding. But it could be huge for the Lions to get a win to boost confidence before facing the Vikings.

And make no mistake, the 49ers game is still important to coach Dan Campbell. He addressed the possibility last week when asked if he would sit players if the Vikings won.

“We’re bringing everything that we have to this game, and we are playing, and I don’t care what it looks like, and where it’s at or who’s this, who’s that, we’re going out to play and win this game out on the West Coast,’’ Campbell said. “So, there you go.”

A year ago, the Lions fell apart in the second half to lose to the 49ers at San Francisco in the NFC Championship game.

They’ve won 13 games this year and have been in the Super Bowl conversation since Week 1. Still that loss is there somewhere in their heads.

“For us it’s really been difficult at times. It’s been the windshield mentality vs. the rearview mirror. We’re really trying to focus on what we have going forward,’’ Lions running backs coach Scottie Montgomer said. “This is a different team and they’re a different team. That’s kind of where we are.We’re really focused on this year, 2024 and trying to play as well as we can possibly play against this team.’’

Campbell said his team is more mature this year.

“When you take an ‘L’ like we did last year, you learn from that. There were a number of things we did wrong and a number of things they did right, and I think you understand how the game can go and where it can swing and just about keeping your composure and making the most of any rep that comes, because the one that happened in the second quarter could change the game,’’ Campbell said.

“So, I think we’re much more prepared than we were, potentially, even that time. You feel like you are, but until you get into that with a heavyweight, real champion who’d been there numerous times, you don’t always know. And so, I think that experience, as difficult as it was, served us well moving forward into this year, and it’s like anything else, you just – you don’t like to lose, so you’ve got an opportunity with a team that got the best of you, and so you just want to go out and find a way to get a win,’’ the coach added.

Five things to watch:

ONE: Running back Jahmyr Gibbs put on a show without David Montgomery as a sidekick last week and needs to do the same again. “This is what he was built for, this is what he wants to do,’’ Montgomery said. “Now that he has to do what he has to do, this is something we expect from him. He did a good job, we felt that he created. He was very creative on the first level. We also liked him in the passing game once again and we’re finding out he can do those things more and more – interior running game, exterior running game. It’s a chance for him to showcase, in David’s absence, what he can do.’’ In the win over the Bears, he had 23 carries (the most this season) for 109 yards and a touchdown. Gibbs also had four catches for 45 yards. 

TWO: Get off to a fast start like they did against the Bears on Sunday when Detroit was up 13-0 in the first quarter and owned a 27-14 edge at the half.

THREE: Continue to work on the connection between Goff and WR Jameson Williams who has four touchdowns of 50-plus yards this season. The 82-yard touchdown bomb against the Bears last week was a career-long for both of them. Williams, known as Jamo, can be a huge weapon in the postseason. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson said he knew it would click between the two but it took two and a half years for their chemistry to get in sync. “When it does click, man, what’s better than a two-play drive? That’s the potential that Jameson has to this offense and it’s a beautiful thing to see a post versus single-high like that,’’ Johnson said. “I know this, it does our offense wonders going into the end of the season here and into the postseason to put that type of stuff on tape.”

FOUR: The Lions defense continues to slowly regain its health while new guys and backups clearly are learning their roles after some of them (that’s you Z’Darius Smith) were thrown in without much time for preparation. The 49ers rank eighth in total offense and can run the ball no matter who carries it. “Listen, we know they’re going to run it, they know they’re going to run it, and their mentality is, ‘Listen, you’re going to have to stop it.’ So, it’s a tough, tough system which requires tough men, which you have to be on your assignment to be able to stop it, and we know that,’’ defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn said. “And if you look at the game from last year, I thought our guys did a really good job early, and then some of their guys started to will themselves into making some plays, and that’s what we really have to do this game. Our top guys have to outwill their top guys, and I’m looking forward to seeing our guys do that.”

FIVE: The 49ers’ passing defense is rated third in the NFL against the Lions’ second-rated passing offense. Something has to give. Jared Goff must play a clean game like he has in recent weeks with just one interception in the last six games. The 49ers may be 6-9 but that doesn’t mean they can’t cause trouble for the Lions.

LIONS INJURY UPDATE:  LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin (neck) is questionable; WR Kalif Raymond (foot) and RB David Montgomery (knee) are out.

NINERS INJURY UPDATE: OG Aaron Banks, DE Robert Beal, OG Spencer Burford, LB Dre Greenlaw and CB Charvarius Ward are out; S Ji’Ayir Brown and OT Colton McKivitz are questionable.

PREDICTION: Lions 34, 49ers 24.

Super Bowl preview? Five things to watch as Lions welcome Bills

In what could be a Super Bowl preview, the Detroit Lions (12-1) host the Buffalo Bills (10-3) at Ford Field on Sunday.

It’s a good angle but not one that the Lions are emphasizing.

“The head coach said it best early this week, we have earned a spot in the tournament based on what we’ve done thus far. We still need to win the division, we still want to get the No. 1  seed, and everything will play out from there. But that’s all way too far out in the future right now,’’ offensive coordinator Ben Johnson said.

While the Bills, who lead the AFC East, are coming off a loss to the Rams, the Lions have won 11 straight despite having 13 defensive players on injured reserve.

No excuses, the Lions just march forward and keep winning.

“This whole year has felt like he’s preparing this club for these type of moments. Not just these type of moments but moments like fourth-and-1 where we were all excited when it happened and when it went down because we understand what we’ve been prepared to do,’’ Lions running backs coach Scottie Montgomery said.

“Coaches, players, administration, everybody we’re on the same page so we understand what’s going on. We’re happy to be in these moments and our guys understand the reason this is a big game is because they’re in it. That’s one big part – it wouldn’t be a big football game if we weren’t playing at a certain level,’ he added.

Coach Dan Campbell said the Lions need to be playing their best football.

“You don’t know what it’s going to take to beat the team that you’re getting ready to play. You don’t know what that’s going to be. We know that this is a good football team, I don’t know what it’s going to take. We know that Green Bay is a damn good team. We did just enough, but you don’t know what it’s going to take with the rest of these teams down the line and you don’t know exactly who’s going to be in, you don’t know – and so are you willing to say that it’s good enough right now? I’m not,’’ Campbell said. “I don’t want to take that chance, so we have to clean some things up and we will.”

Five things to watch:

ONE: The Lions running game was not up to standard in the win over Green Bay. Running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs had one of their less productive games but it is not all on them. “You’re going to get four or five opportunities in a game where everything is blocked correctly – everything the perimeter, center, the interior – those have to be explosives. I’m not saying that happened this week but we have got to continue to make sure it happens,’’ running backs coach Scottie Montgomery said. “Then when there’s a 4-yard run you have to be able to get 5.’’ 

TWO: The defensive line welcomes back four who have been injured which will help in pressuring quarterback Josh Allen and  stopping running back James Cook. Alim McNeill, Levi Onwuzurike, Josh Paschal and D.J. Reader are all a go for Sunday.  “We’re going to put a lot on our defense this week. Our defense and special teams are going to play a critical factor in this game,’’ Campbell said. “So, yeah, it’s critical, but it’s going to take all three phases here and I expect our defense to play well.”

THREE: Lions secondary faces challenge in Josh Allen who has completed 64.1 percent of his passes and thrown just five interceptions against 23 touchdowns. Allen’s mobility is also something to watch. “I think they have an offense to where, man, they are distributing the ball to a number of different people, and I know they’re going to get some people back this week who are a huge part of their offense, so that’s going to be something we have to be ready for, also,’’ Lions defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn said. “But, man, this quarterback, he’s an MVP-caliber guy, there’s no doubt about that, and we know that. But we’re going to go out there and do everything we can to stop what he’s trying to do. It’s going to be a tough challenge and we know it.”

FOUR: Quarterback Jared Goff has kept the offense running smoothly so far and needs to keep going against the Billls. Goff and Ben Johnson work closely each week to help develop the game plan. “The things that he’s most comfortable with usually work on game days, so we want to give him a lot of liberty early in the week, ‘Hey, I think we can get a post if we do this or that.’ And we’ll try to find a way to make that an alert for him if we can call it against the right coverage,’’ Johnson said. “So, it’s just, call it an hour every day over the course of the week. We’ve got a good process right now from Monday to Sunday that we just keep pressing the reset button every week. We can’t get tired of it. But he’s doing a great job of that.”

FIVE: Lions must continue success on third downs.They’re ranked fourth best in the NFL while the Bills third down defense is near the bottom at 25th. In the win over the Packers, Detroit was four of five on fourth downs, they may be just as aggressive on Sunday while waiting for some key defensemen to heal up and get back in the game. 

LIONS INJURY UPDATE: LB Trevor Nowaske (concussion) is out. All others, who are not on injured reserve, are cleared.

BILLS INJURY UPDATE:CB Rasul Douglas is out. OL Tylan Grable, S Damar Hamlin, TE Dalton Kincaid, TE Quintin MOrris, S Taylor Rapp, DE Dawuane Smoot, LB Baylon Spector and DE Casey Toohill are questionable.

PREDICTION: Lions 35, Bills 31

Lions make winning look easy, but Jared Goff scoffs at the perception

Loaded with talent and hard-workers, the Lions have won eight straight and shatter records each week. In the last four games they have outscored opponents 154 to 57.

Piece of cake? Guess again.

“We’re really really trying to chase excellence every day. It’s not just on the field in games. In practice, we just finished walking through, the details are coming out. It’s amazing,’’ said Scottie Montgomery, Lions assistant head coach/running backs, on Wednesday.

The perception — to some, not everyone — is that the consistent winning is easy. Quarterback Jared Goff has something to say about that.

“None of this is easy. I keep getting that question. It makes me a little upset, but like I got it on the radio and after the game. None of this is easy. I know we scored 52, but like it’s freaking hard in this league,’’ Goff said on Wednesday.

“We’ve been playing well, we’ve been doing a lot of good things on offense. By no means would I ever characterize anything we’re doing as easy or without effort,’’ Goff added. “It’s a lot of hard work and a lot of time. The games are obviously very hard always and tough to win. Just rewind to a week ago (at Houston) you see how hard that win was. It’s never easy.’’

Goff said he’s not sure why the perception is that it’s easy.

“Everyone watches on Sunday to see what happens. But we’re in here Monday through Saturday. Our coaches are working around the clock,’’ Goff said. “Our bodies aren’t where you’d like them to be, no one is in this league right now. None of this is easy. We’re doing some good things offensively and defensively, but none of it is easy at all.’’

Coach Dan Campbell has preached hard work and details since he first walked into the building. That is one reason the Lions are 9-1 and considered Super Bowl worthy. At times they’re making it look easy, but it is not.

“I’ve been on some good football teams, but this is one of the first times when your best players are some of the most detailed players,’’ Montgomery said.
Wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown said the offense has known it’s special since the start of last year.

“We treat every opponent the same and that’s what makes us special,’’ St. Brown said.

UP NEXT: Lions (9-1) at Indianapolis Colts (5-6), 1 p.m. on Sunday.