Five things to watch as the Lions look to beat the Bills; plus prediction

With the LIons returning home with a three-game win streak, coach Dan Campbell expects Ford Field to be electric on Thanksgiving when they face the Buffalo Bills.

“That was one of the first things I thought of after this (Giants) game on the plane ride home is like, man, this place is going to be – because it’s been good. I mean, it’s been electric and I can only imagine now,’’ Campbell said. “ I already know it’s going to be on fire. … It’s going to be great. It’s going to be great.”

The fans should provide a welcoming atmosphere but the Lions (4-6) have to play a clean game to have a chance to beat the Bills (7-2) who have lost two of their last three.

Campbell said he’s not sure he sees this as a measuring stick kind of game.

“I think any time you win in this League, you have to do some things right no matter who you’re playing and it all comes down to the same things,’’ Campbell said. “And you’re trying to give yourself the best opportunity to win a game, and so to me, if we can do that when we’re competitive and we come out on top by the end of this game then we did things right,’’ Campbell said. “But if we play good clean football, I like our odds.”

The LIons haven’t won a Thanksgiving game since 2016. If they beat the Bills they will have a 4-0 record in November for the first time since 1962, per NFL research. Sixty years is a long time..

Five things to watch as Lions welcome the Bills:

1. Bills quarterback Josh Allen has been on the injury report with a shoulder but Campbell said he looks good on film. Mobile quarterbacks like Allen have found some success against these Lions. Allen, who has passed for 21 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions, is also the Bills’ leading rusher with 483 yards and four rushing touchdowns. Campbell said Allen is much like Bears quarterback Justin Fields.  “(He) can certainly throw in the pocket, throw on the run, can break tackles, run you over, has a quick release, he’s accurate. I mean, he just – he can do it all. He can do everything and does it very well. So, everything starts with him,’’ Campbell said. “We talked about (Giants RB Saquon) Barkley last week, everything starts with this guy. So, to say that you’re going to completely shut that down is hard for any defense, but certainly we’ve got to contain him as much as we possibly can. And I think that a lot of that comes on challenging the perimeter.’’ Fields gashed the Lions with 147 rushing yards and two rushing TDs, but Detroit eked out the win.

2. Detroit’s defense has stepped up its game on takeaways with seven during the three-game win streak. That needs to continue on Thursday.  “We’re going to need them and look, that’s been part of the secret sauce for us. We are getting them and that’s – and that means we’re turning a corner because we are getting them out. And so, we’ve got to continue that trend and if we can put (Allen) in a position to where he feels like he needs to get rid of the ball and we get our hands on it. We have to capitalize, so it’s going to be big for us. It’s been big for us.” On Sunday the Lions picked off Giants quarterback Daniel Jones twice, doubling his interception total for the season.

3. It’s no coincidence that the Lions defense improves from week to week. That’s always the hope when three rookies start. Aidan Hutchinson, who was the NFC’s defensive player of the week, has 5.5 sacks and two interceptions so far. He is developing before our eyes. Same with rooki cornerback Kerby Joseph (who leads the team with three interceptions) and rookie linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez who is everywhere. Wins breed confidence which is just what this young bunch needed.

4. Jared Goff’s command of the offense has also grown over the last three games even though he’s been missing key receivers. D.J. Chark, who returned for 11 snaps on Sunday, is expected to see more action against the Bills. Whoever is up, Goff has been able to get them the ball with much success. That effort is helped in a huge way by running back Jamaal Williams who opens up the passing game. Goff said the Bills do nearly everything well defensively. “They obviously rush the passer well, Von (Miller), and a handful of those guys over there, and they’re just extremely sound,’’ Goff said. “I think it’s got to be the top linebacker duo in the :league if (Tremaine) Edmunds is able to play, and (Matt) Milano, and on the backend, they’re sharp as well. They’re really sound and do a good job and pressure when they need to and create chaos.”

5. While the team has improved week to week, so has Campbell’s coaching. Funny how that works. Last year was his first Thanksgiving game as a head coach and it came up on him fast. It was a lesson learned. Expect the team to be well prepared for the Bills.

(Prediction: Lions 28,  Bills 27) OK, on Sunday I picked the Lions to beat the Giants and got grief for it until afterward. The Bills have the NFL’s second-best offense and their defense allows only 17.4 points per game. Yet, they have lost two of their last three. Numbers aren’t everything – the Lions defense is still ranked 32nd even after shutting down the Giants. After careful deliberation I’m picking the Lions who will be riding an emotional high.)

Lions notes: Rookie Jameson Williams takes first step toward return

ALLEN PARK — Lions first-round pick, wide receiver Jameson Williams, returned to the field on Monday. Coming off injured reserve, the Lions have up to three weeks to activate him for a game. 

Jameson, who played at Alabama, tore his ACL in January’s national championship game and hasn’t been on the field since. It seems highly unlikely he will play on Thursday because of the shortened week of preparation for Thursday’s game against the Bills. 

Coach Dan Campbell does not know at what point Williams will be ready to be active for a game.

“I know this, he can run and that’s not hard to do. You’ve either got it or you don’t, he’s got it,’’ the coach said. “In that regard he can help.’’

Of course there will be a learning curve. Even though Williams has not been able to practice since the draft, he has been in meetings and he’s gotten to know his teammates. 

“There’s some good rapport. When that time comes he’ll earn respect from his teammates like the rest of his guys have,’’ Campbell said.

Again, no estimate from the coach on when he’ll make his debut.

“The rehab that he’s done — even though this is technically not practice if you will, it’s walk-through mode — the things he’ll do starting today out there live are much more football-oriented,’’ Campbell said on Monday. “We’ll see where he can go and see how fast he can get there.’’

Quarterback Jared Goff said it was good to see him out at the walk-through. “He’s got so much speed and ability,’’ Goff said.

Learning experience

Campbell said he learned a lot from playing on Thanksgiving last year and it should help with the preparation this week.

“Last year it was literally, you’ve heard the term, it was drinking out of a firehose. I’ve done it before as a player and a coach, but not as a head coach. Man, it gets on you in a hurry,’’ Campbell said. “I do feel like for me personally, I’m much more prepared for getting us prepared for this week. …There’s no easy way to do it. However you cut it, it’s hard on the players and the coaches.’’

The assistant coaches had prepared statistics and notes earlier. The coaching staff met last night when they got back from the win at the N.Y. Giants.

Last year the Lions lost 16-14 to the Bears on Thanksgiving

Breaking records

Rookie Aidan Hutchinson is the NFL’s first defensive lineman to produce a season with at least 5 sacks, 2 interceptions and a fumble recovery since Jared Allen in 2010. And Hutchinson becomes the third rookie defensive lineman in NFL history joining Leslie O’Neal (1986) and John Zook (1969). He’s making a case for NFL defensive rookie of the year. 

Ins and outs

Lions had to estimate a practice report since they were just planning a walk-through in preparation for Thursday’s game. Those who wouldn’t have practiced include OL Evan Brown (ankle), DL Charles Harris (groin), G Jonah Jackson (illness), CB Jeff Okudah (concussion), Josh Paschal (knee), C Frank Ragnow (foot), and  WR Josh Reynolds (back). WR D.J Chark (ankle) would have been limited. Campbell said that it doesn’t appear there is any way that OKudah will be cleared to play by Thursday.

Detroit Lions: Jarrad Davis, Frank Ragnow injuries not season-ending

Jarrad Davis and Frank Ragnow did not suffer season-ending injuries in the Detroit Lions’ preseason loss to the Bills on Friday night.

Lions coach Matt Patricia gave the update during a conference call on Saturday afternoon. 

He said neither one will play in the final preseason game at Cleveland on Thursday, but wouldn’t put a timetable on their returns. He also said neither one is in the category to be placed on injured reserve to return.

“The one great thing about these two guys is they have tremendous work ethic, we know they’re going to be working as hard as they can to get back as soon as possible,’’ Patricia said.

Patricia offered no specifics on the injuries.

Davis, the starting middle linebacker, was injured on the second snap of the game. And eventually carted off to the locker room from the sidelines. 

“Obviously J.D. does a tremendous job inside the building, outside the building, he just loves football. It’s 24/7 with him. He loves to study it, he loves to learn,’’ Patricia said. 

Ragnow, the starting center, went down about midway through the second quarter. He was helped off the field and it appeared he could not put weight on his right leg.

The first-round pick in 2018 started at left guard last season but moved to center during the offseason.